Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Preview

The big question in this game is whether Wisconsin has any kind of hangover from that loss in East Lansing. That was a devastating way to lose a game, so will they be able to get over it and show up for this game?


Ohio St. Offense vs Wisconsin Defense


Wisconsin is much better equipped to stop the run than Illinois was, so Ohio State will not be able to throw the ball 4 times and stay in this game. Michigan State showed the blueprint to beat this team. They beat them with the passing game. Wisconsin's defensive backs are not great and they miss tackles. Unfortunately for Ohio State, they don't have a senior pocket passing QB or any great receivers like Michigan State does. The key for Ohio State is to play like they did in the first 3 quarters against Nebraska. In that game, they kept Nebraska's defense off balance by throwing screens, designed QB runs, and quick passes. Wisconsin will blitz all night long and will have 8-9 guys in the box. Ohio State will have to be able to throw the ball to have any shot of moving the ball.

Advantage: Wisconsin Defense

Wisconsin Offense vs Ohio St. Defense


Ohio State will need to do much better at stopping the run than they did against Wisconsin last year. Last year, in Madison, Wisconsin lined up and manhandled the front 7 all night. Ohio State is better equipped to handle that this year because their defensive line and linebackers are bigger and the defensive line is deeper. Michigan State showed that Russell Wilson will make mistakes if you get pressure on him. The problem for Ohio State is that they have had trouble getting to the QB all year. Ohio State has been more willing this year to put their corners in man to man coverage than they have in years past, where they played almost all zone. That leads me to believe that Ohio State will load the box to stop the run, and put their corners out on islands vs the Wisconsin Wide Receivers.

Advantage: Ohio State

Advantages


QB: Wisconsin
RB: Even
WR: Wisconsin
TE: Even
OL: Even
DL: Ohio State
LB: Even
DB: Ohio State
Special Teams: Ohio State
Coaching: Wisconsin


Prediction: Both offenses will start out successful, but the defenses will settle in after the first couple of series, which will lead to a slugfest all night. The two keys to the game for Ohio State are whether Ohio State's defense can stay fresh through the 4th quarter, and whether Ohio State's offense can put together any semblance of a passing game. I suspect the Ohio State defense will keep it close, but I don't think the offense will be able to put up enough points to pull it out.  I see it as Wisconsin: 27  Ohio State: 17

Sunday, October 23, 2011

What we learned this week

  • The win over Illinois doesn't look nearly as good, after they got dominated by Purdue
  • Wisconsin's pass defense is not great
  • Dantonio is a better coach than Bielema
  • Alabama and LSU appear to be far and away the 2 best teams in the country. They remind me of OSU and Michigan in 2006. My guess is the one difference is that both will show up in their bowl games
  • Oklahoma was exposed for what they are...overrated. Their defense is average and Landry Jones is a product of the system more than he is a great quarterback
  • The Big East is horrendous (though this is nothing new)
  • Notre Dame beating Michigan State had to be an aberration. There is no way ND should have been able to compete with them.

Around the NCAA (Week 8)

National Top 10

  1. Alabama
  2. LSU
  3. Stanford
  4. Clemson
  5. Oklahoma St
  6. Boise St
  7. Kansas St
  8. Michigan St
  9. Oregon
  10. Wisconsin
B1G Power Rankings
  1. Michigan St
  2. Wisconsin
  3. Nebraska
  4. Michigan
  5. Penn St
  6. Ohio St
  7. Iowa
  8. Purdue
  9. Illinois
  10. Northwestern
  11. Minnesota
  12. Indiana
SEC Power Rankings
  1. Alabama
  2. LSU
  3. Arkansas
  4. S. Carolina
  5. Georgia
  6. Auburn
  7. Florida
  8. Tennessee
  9. Mississippi St
  10. Vanderbilt
  11. Mississippi
  12. Kentucky
Big 12 Power Rankings
  1. Oklahoma St.
  2. Kansas St
  3. Oklahoma
  4. Texas A&M
  5. Baylor
  6. Texas Tech
  7. Texas 
  8. Missouri
  9. Iowa St
  10. Kansas
ACC Power Rankings
  1. Clemson
  2. Virginia Tech
  3. Wake Forest
  4. Georgia Tech
  5. Miam
  6. Florida State
  7. Virginia
  8. North Carolina
  9. NC State
  10. Maryland
  11. Duke
  12. Boston College
Big East Power Rankings
  1. Cincinnati
  2. Syracuse
  3. West Virginia
  4. Rutgers
  5. Pittsburgh
  6. Connecticut
  7. S. Florida
  8. Louisville
Pac 12 Power Rankings
  1. Stanford
  2. Oregon
  3. Arizona St
  4. USC
  5. Washington
  6. California
  7. Washington St
  8. Utah
  9. Arizona
  10. Oregon St
  11. UCLA
  12. Colorado
Conference Rankings
  1. SEC
  2. Big 12
  3. B1G
  4. Pac 12
  5. ACC
  6. Big East